Pregnancy Chance Calculator
Get an instant, rough estimate. Results are educational — not medical advice.
This tool provides estimates only and is not medical advice.
Want a more precise estimate?
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How to Use This Calculator
- Choose a contraceptive method (optional) — leave as “No contraceptive” if none was used.
- Enter the number of intercourse events you want to estimate for (any time frame).
Only one event? Use our One-Time Pregnancy Chance Calculator. - Enter your age (optional) and tap Calculate.
We don’t store your inputs. Results are estimates and show a capped range (never exactly 0% or 100%).
How the Estimate Is Calculated (The Science)
We begin with a per-act probability of conception that reflects your selected method’s real-world (typical-use) effectiveness and age-related fertility. For multiple acts, we combine the probabilities across the window you chose. Extremely small and large values are displayed as “Under 0.001%” or “Over 99.999%” for clarity.
Want more control (BMI, lifestyle, and timing scenarios)? Try the Advanced Calculator.
The Key Factors in Our Model
Female Age
Primary driver of fertility. We follow recognized guidance on age-related decline in ovarian reserve and egg quality (ACOG overview).
Male Age
Paternal age influences sperm quality; effects are clearer beyond 40 (PubMed: paternal age).
Intercourse Timing
Odds peak in the 5-day fertile window and ovulation day. Frequency across the window can outperform exact targeting (frequency vs. timing). Try our Ovulation Calculator.
Body Mass Index (BMI)
Very low or high BMI can disrupt ovulation; our advanced model adjusts accordingly (BMI & fertility). Explore the Advanced Calculator.
Lifestyle
Smoking and heavy alcohol intake can reduce fertility via hormonal pathways (evidence summary). See personalized tips after your result.
Contraceptive Use
We use large-scale typical-use data (e.g., Trussell 2011) to estimate method-specific risk. Compare methods in our Contraceptive Risk Calculator.
Data Sources & Primary Research
- Contraceptive failure rates: Trussell 2011; Kost et al. 2008
- Age & fertility: Hendershot et al. 1982
- Behavior/timing: Frequency vs. timing
See our full Research Library for methods, assumptions, and additional datasets.
Medical Disclaimer
This calculator is for educational purposes only and is not a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis, or treatment. Always consult a qualified clinician about contraception, fertility, or pregnancy concerns.